JUNE 4th: The Day Barack Obama Becomes Democratic Party Nominee
Posted on May 6, 2008
Filed Under Journalism, News, Politics, commentary |
Prediction: The last primary is June 3rd. A well placed, high ranking Democratic Party official tells me that on June 4th, it is likely that enough uncommitted superdelegates will make up their minds on whether to back Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton and the bet is, the official said, Obama will get the 
official nod.
True, Hillary Clinton did apparently win Indiana as of this writing, but Obama’s margin of victory over Clinton in North Carolina is likely to convince many of those uncommitted superdelgates that, though flawed, Obama will be the party’s best bet against John McCain come November.
A powerful argument runs counter to this, tough. It goes like this: Obama has a real problem winning the big, industrial states. That should make Clinton the more attractive presidential candidate.
But, the superdelegates (party officials, congresspeople, governors and others elected and not) who will end up deciding this contest, are more than likely going to end up giving the nomination to Obama anyway because, in many ways, it is the easier thing to do: Obama will clearly have more pledged delegates than Clinton come June 3rd and more of the popular vote. Behind the scene, one superdelegate tells me, there is enormous pressure to solve the Florida/Michigan fiasco with a 50-50 split decision which would still leave Obama with more of the popular vote and more of the pledged delegates.
No Denver Battle
No one really wants this thing to be unsettled come convention time in Denver in August. It would be too unpredictable.
By the time the convention begins, the Democratic Party will have its presidential and vice-presidential nominees.
Obama will be the presidential nominee. But, who will be his veep?
Stay tuned.
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May 6 will sadly be known as the day that the Democrats lost the presidency. Obama is surely to become the nominee after tonight, especially if he ends up winning Indiana. I’m guessing that by the end of the week, Hillary will have dropped out of the race.
Unable to support BHO, countless Hillary supporters will likely stay home during the election, or perhaps they will vote for McCain. Either way, with Obama as the nominee, we’ve assured ourselves another 4 years of a Republican president.
I suppose we deserve what we get.
Now we’ll have the opportunity to vote for a rookie, opportunist, manipulative, conniving, flip-flopping, sleaze ball OR a war-mongering, OLD, post-traumatic torture suffering, OLD man.
WOW! What choices!
To JD:
There’s no way, given the scenerio outlined, that the Clinton supporters will sit out the election. Nor will they support McCain.
Many things are being said by each Democratic presidential hopeful’s camp about the other in the heat of the primary battles. But that will all be forgiven and forgotten when it comes time for the general election.
From their perspective, McCain represents more of the same. The same in Iraq. The same with the economy.
No Democrat wants that. For his or her party. Nor for his or her nation.
On the Republican side, there’s no way the conservatives who say they will sit out the election rather than vote for McCain will be true to their word. The thought of Obama, or another Clinton in the White House, causes their bile to rise.
The nation is actually pretty evenly split between Democrats and Republicans anyway. So it’s not their votes that will be courted in the general election as much as the votes of independents who could go either way. In the end, the non-partisans will likely determine who is elected the next president of the United States.