19 Jan
Posted by charles as commentary
There is no doubt whatsoever in my mind now that Hillary Clinton will win the Democratic Party’s Presidential nomination.
A close look at what just went down in Nevada shows why:
Hillary is beating Barack Obama among Latinos hands-down.
Hillary is beating Barack Obama among hard core-registered Democrats.
Hillary is beating Barack Obama among women.
Hillary is beating Barack Obama among older, more experienced and more likely to vote voters.
Hillary is beating Barack Obama among rank and file union members despite what union leadership thinks.
Barack is beating Hillary Clinton among younger voters.
Barack is beating Hillary Clinton among black voters.
Barack is beating Hillary Clinton among Independent voters.
Nevada was the first real test of what the contest for the White House might look like on a national scale.
Now, just do the math:
There are more Latino voters in the U.S. than black voters- check one for Hillary
There are more women voters than men in the U.S.-check another one for Hillary
There are more registered Democrats likely to vote in the general election than Independents-check still another one for Hillary
There are more senior dedicated voters than younger new time voters-another check for Hillary.
Perhaps most important, since presidents are not actually elected by voters directly (remember Bush vs. Gore?) but by electors, Hillary will no doubt end up winning in most of the larger states that have the most number of electors.
Bottom line:
Hillary Clinton can’t lose.
Barack Obama can’t win.
As Walter Cronkite used to say–And that’s the way it is!
14 Responses
Brian Krumm
January 28th, 2008 at 9:01 am
1False false flase. Ok statisticaly she would win. But hes the better candidate which is what an election comes down to. How many unprobables can you get to vote for you and he will cuz …………..HES BETTER!!!
John Smithston
February 4th, 2008 at 6:46 am
2You are right.
Hillary will win.
Which is good, she has more experience, and is much better on the issues than Obama. And contrary to thew myt, she has a better chasnce of defeating the Republicans.
mark
February 6th, 2008 at 3:44 pm
3I agree 100 %. She has more experience and isn’t giving false hope to people. All Obama can say is ” change “. He never says how. He seems to be descent but that’s not enough.
Ethan
February 7th, 2008 at 1:43 pm
4Hillary is starting to slip in the polls, but i think she will pull it off because Obama is a muslim.
DLee
February 12th, 2008 at 8:23 am
5I think you had better take a good re-look at the polls….and the primaries that have just been taken by Barack. She will lose - the Clinton corruption tags along behind her.
Mike
February 22nd, 2008 at 3:55 pm
6LOL. I love seeing the Clintonites make fools of themselves.
Lois Kruger
April 5th, 2008 at 10:13 pm
7I am white, female,82years old and 100% behind Obama. He will be the best president for the United States and the world. I think the world will think we aren’t so bad if we elect a man out of the traditional mold. I think this man is a once in a lifetime opportunity for us to do the right thing. Experience? Does being a first lady stand for experience. Then Laura Bush should be a candidate. She also is surrounded by experienced politicians. Let’s do the right thing.I’d worry about a president who is called at 2:00 a.m. and is hallucinating because she is “sleep deprived”.We don’t want the Clintons in the white house again, and an impeached ex-president besides.
Jan
May 7th, 2008 at 4:41 am
8He’s got much more money - from guys that don’t like Bush, but don’t like the poor getting any money, either. And somehow, money seems to count more than Latinos, women and registered democrats. Maybe because they don’t have it. Check, check, check - Obama will win! But the US may lose (except the rich guys).
Jan
May 7th, 2008 at 4:43 am
9By the way, this is the only site that matches the google query “Hillary Clinton can’t lose”. All the other matches are “Hillary Clinton can’t win” or “Hillary Clinton will lose”. Maybe that tells something.
Scott C
June 3rd, 2008 at 7:01 am
10Tonight Obama will win the nomination.
Clinton will bow out of the race tomorrow.
This article is as wrong as one can get.
Obama 2008!
alien
July 19th, 2008 at 1:22 pm
11yeah, so much for that hard prediction!
Greg
August 17th, 2008 at 10:23 am
12Well, there it is from Brian’s comment: “Ok statisticaly she would win. But hes the better candidate which is what an election comes down to.”
Negative. You just refuted your own comment within itself. It’s about getting votes, and who will produce the most for their party in the general election. Yep, that’s called “Statistically winning” which is what counts and makes the candidate “better”.
That would be like a country ignoring the olympic trials, putting thier slower athletes in and saying “Well, yeah this guy is slower but he’s just BETTER.” Yeah, forget substance, forget results…just go with BETTER.
Obama has been basically campaigning against himself all this time. and Hillary has just been there…waiting. Get him away from a teleprompter and he’s a bumbling, stumbling fool. No substance, no decisiveness, not impressed and frankly…I just don’t believe him.
After seeing Barrack “millhouse” Obama aka The Messiah, I have a lot more respect for Hillary Clinton.
Morgan
October 26th, 2008 at 4:02 pm
13I guess you were wrong about Clinton.
“As Walter Cronkite used to say–And that’s the way it is!”
manifest Money
June 29th, 2009 at 11:41 pm
14nice post Thnx dude
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